March 21, 2013
Here is a sentence we will be retyping a lot over the next few weeks:
Never believe what a college player says about his future in the minutes after he is eliminated from the NCAA Tournament. In the emotion of the moment they almost always say they will return, then upon reflection in a few weeks, with the temptation of the NBA money out there, some change their minds. Whether they should or not. It happens every year.
In Kentucky, Nerlens Noel is gone. Well, he's not talking but I'm stunned if he stays. Despite the ACL injury he is pretty much a lock top 3 NBA draft pick and possible No. 1 overall.
But what about Willie Cauley-Stein, Alex Poythress and Archie Goodwin? Well, after Kentucky's NIT loss to Robert Morris Tuesday they all told Scott Howard-Cooper of NBA.com that they are leaning toward returning to Kentucky.
"I don't know if it's a question whether I'm going [to the NBA] or not," Goodwin said. "I don't think I'm ready to go. It's no reason why I think any of our guys should really leave. We should come back next year … and just try to do better than what we did this year. Because the expectations we had for ourselves this year, we didn't meet them at all. We didn't come close. So I think think that's what says we should all come back…"
Poythress was asked whether he thinks he will stay in school: "Yeah, I do. I don't think I'm ready [for the NBA]. I don't even think I'm ready for — you've just got to get used to it. You've just gotta come back and be focused on the offseason. That's when you get better and just continue to regroup and come back and maybe next year we can have a better year. We'll have a lot of leadership, a lot of veteran players. This year we had a couple…."
Cauley-Stein was less definitive, noting he will "absolutely" weigh his NBA stock. But he added that "I really want a ring before I leave college" and when asked about Goodwin's comment that the Wildcat prospects are not ready for the pros, Cauley-Stein said: "I have no idea. I can't speak for anybody else. I'm not. I feel like I left something out. Something's missing. I've got this empty feeling in my gut and I want to fill it."
Again, take it with a grain of salt. We'll see what they say in a few weeks.
Poythress is a possible lottery pick; DraftExpress.com has him at 15 in this draft. He's an athletic wing with a lot of potential who can defend and play at both ends. Problem is he is very inconsistent and there are questions about his motivation and desire.
Goodwin is a two guard who would go middle of the first round this year. Again very athletic (aren't all Kentucky players lately) who can score shooting from the outside or driving the lane. He needs to learn to pick his spots better (especially in the NBA where he will be a role player) but again teams like his potential
Cauley-Stein is raw and really would benefit more than the other two from another year in college (which is why DraftExpress.com lists him in their 2014 draft class). But he's a mobile, athletic 7'0" center and you know how NBA teams are desperate for quality bigs, so he would go in the middle of the first round somewhere if he came out. But if you draft him he's a project. He's athletic but needs a whole lot of polish. Still, not a bad gamble for a team.
Those guys are first round picks, three years guaranteed NBA money if they come out now. It may not be the best thing for all of them, but I but at least two jump to the NBA next season.